This paper applies evolutionary game theory to international environmental agreements (IEAs). Contrary to stage game models
(Barrett in J Theor Politics 11:519–541, 1999, Eur Econ Rev 45:1835–1850, 2001), in an evolutionary equilibrium (EE) no signatory
prefers to be outside the IEA and the EE is robust to trembles. With two populations, there is a unique interior EE when there
is decreasing returns to abatement and small asymmetry in the externality differences across populations. At the interior
EE, transfers from the poor to the rich can increase payoffs for all nations, but come at the expense of greater payoff inequality.
Transfers can also eliminate the basin of attraction for the payoff inferior EE with decreasing returns to abatement and large
asymmetry. Thus IEAs, such as the Kyoto Treaty, predicated on the polluter-pays and ability-to-pay principles may result in
Pareto inferior outcomes.
Keywords International environmental agreements - Evolutionary games - Externalities - Transfers
JEL Classification C73 - C72 - D62 - D78 - D63