We discuss two methods for measuring the effectiveness of earthquake prediction algorithms: The information score based on
the likelihood ratio and error diagrams. For both of these methods, closed form expressions are obtained for the renewal process
based on the gamma and lognormal distributions. The error diagram is more informative than the likelihood ratio and uniquely
specifies the information score. We derive an expression connecting the information score and error diagrams. We then obtain
the estimate of the region bounds in the error diagram for any value of the information score. We discuss how these preliminary
results can be extended for more realistic models of earthquake occurrence.
Keywords Earthquake prediction - statistical methods - seismicity - renewal processes - information score - error diagram