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Map Comparison Methods for Comprehensive Assessment of Geosimulation Models

Alex Hagen-Zanker1, 2 Contact Information and Pim Martens3

(1)  Research Institute for Knowledge Systems, PO Box 463, 6200 AL Maastricht, The Netherlands
(2)  Urban Planning Group, Technical University Eindhoven, PO Box 513, 5600 MB Eindhoven, The Netherlands
(3)  International Centre for Integrated assessment and Sustainable development, Maastricht University, PO Box 616, 6200 MD Maastricht, The Netherlands
Abstract
A crucial task in the calibration and validation of geosimulation models is to measure the agreement between model and reality. In recent years many map comparison methods have been developed for this purpose. This paper presents a framework to systematically assess different aspects of model performance and express the results relative to a common reference level. Application on a constrained cellular automata model of the Netherlands demonstrates that the framework gives an in-depth account of model performance. It also shows that any performance assessment that does not follow a multi-criteria approach or lacks a reference level results in an unbalanced account and ultimately false conclusions.

Keywords  geosimulation - calibration - validation - map comparison


Contact Information Alex Hagen-Zanker
Email: ahagen@riks.nl
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