During the 20th century, high mortality rates of Scots pine (
Pinus silvestris L.) have been observed over large areas in the Rhône valley (Valais, Switzerland) and in other dry valleys of the European
Alps. In this study, we evaluated drought as a possible inciting factor of Scots pine decline in the Valais. Averaged tree-ring
widths, standardized tree-ring series, and estimated annual mortality risks were related to a drought index. Correlations
between drought indices and standardized tree-ring series from 11 sites showed a moderate association. Several drought years
and drought periods could be detected since 1864 that coincided with decreased growth. Although single, extreme drought years
had generally a short-term, reversible effect on tree growth, multi-year drought initiated prolonged growth decreases that
increased a tree’s long-term risk of death. Tree death occurred generally several years or even decades after the drought.
In conclusion, drought has a limiting effect on tree growth and acts as a bottleneck event in triggering Scots pine decline
in the Valais.
Keywords drought - tree mortality - Scots pine (Pinus silvestris L.) - air pollution - mortality risk - statistical models - tree rings - climate - competition