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Comparison of cancer registry and clinical data as predictors for breast cancer survival
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Original Paper
Comparison of cancer registry and clinical data as predictors for breast cancer survival
Johanna Seppänen1 , Sirpa Heinävaara1, 2, Kaija Holli3, 4 and Timo Hakulinen1
| (1) |
Finnish Cancer Registry, Institute for Statistical and Epidemiological Cancer Research, Pieni Roobertinkatu 9, 00130 Helsinki, Finland |
| (2) |
Radiation and Nuclear Safety Authority, Helsinki, Finland |
| (3) |
Medical School, Tampere University, Tampere, Finland |
| (4) |
Department of Oncology, Tampere University Hospital, Tampere, Finland |
Received: 26 November 2007 Accepted: 25 June 2008 Published online: 28 August 2008
Abstract
Background In spite of the increasing amount of clinically relevant information for survival from breast cancer, the amount of data recorded
in a population-based cancer registry is limited and the registry-based survival predictions are routinely made without clinical
details.
Objective To find out how important is the role of screening and clinical tumor characteristics in addition to cancer registry information
in describing the breast cancer survival.
Methods A representative clinical database on 483 breast cancer patients diagnosed during 1996–1997 in Tampere University Hospital
Area was linked with Finnish Cancer Registry data and a survival model including the available registry variables was compared
to models including screen-detection information and clinical tumor characteristics also.
Results and conclusion Estimates of registry stage and age act as surrogates for clinical variables and mammography-detection. The surrogacy was
found to be almost complete indicating that clinical variables are not necessarily needed when making breast cancer mortality
predictions based on a population-based cancer registry. In cases with dissimilar staging cancer registry stage gave a better
picture of the breast cancer survival than the clinical stage.
Keywords Breast cancer - Survival - Population-based predictions - Screening
This work was performed in Finnish Cancer Registry, Helsinki, Finland.
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