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Uncertainty Management for the Retrieval of Economic Information from Distributed Markets
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Uncertainty Management for the Retrieval of Economic Information from Distributed Markets
René Brunner3 , Felix Freitag3 and Leandro Navarro3 
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Computer Architecture Department, Polytechnic University of Catalonia, 08034 Barcelona, Spain |
Abstract
The provision of real-time and highly accurate information in large-scale distributed systems is technically difficult and
approximations imply uncertainty. In economic science, however, reliable information about markets, its specifications, and
the behavior of its participants is essential for sophisticated and efficient negotiation strategies. There is the need for
a system that provides and allows consulting an overall knowledge of economic information in distributed markets, while managing
the accuracy of information for the user. This paper evaluates the influences of uncertainties for information retrieval within
distributed Grid markets. It proposes an uncertainty management component for a Decentralized Market Information System (DMIS),
which regulates the accuracy of information and the number of messages for the retrieval of economic data from a scalable
market. First, we analyze the properties and the completeness of information in Grid markets. Therefore, we simulate Grid
market specific scenarios under complete and incomplete information provision by varying the information accessibility. The
results confirm the influence of the accuracy on the stability of the market. Based on these results, an optimization mechanism,
which uses approximations is introduced for the retrieval of information. The approximations are controlled by the uncertainty
management to find a trade-off between the amount of messages and the accuracy of information.
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