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Temporal Data Mining Using Multilevel-Local Polynomial Models
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Temporal Data Mining Using Multilevel-Local Polynomial Models
Weiqiang Lin6 , Mehmet A. Orgun6 and Graham J. Williams7 
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Department of Computing, Macquarie University Sydney, 2109, NSW, Australia |
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CSIRO Mathematical and Information Sciences, GPO Box 664, 2601 Canberra, ACT, Australia |
Abstract
This study proposes a data mining framework to discover qualitative and quantitative patterns in discrete-valued time series(DTS).
In our method, there are three levels for mining temporal patterns. At the first level, a structural method based on distance
measures through polynomial modelling is employed to find pattern structures; the second level performs a value-based search
using local polynomial analysis; and then the third level based on multilevel-local polynomial models(MLPMs), finds global
patterns from a DTS set. We demonstrate our method on the analysis of “Exchange Rates Patterns” between the U.S. dollar and
Australian dollar.
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