This paper seeks to extend the extant empirical evidence regarding asymmetric adjustment to equilibrium of short and long
interest rates. Using an adaptation of the exponential smooth transition model to allow for sign asymmetry in the transition
function, we show that equilibrium reversion exhibits two broad characteristics. First, small deviations are random, while
large deviations are reverting. Second, deviations that arise when the long rate exceeds the short rate are characterised
by quicker reversion than the opposite case. These results are consistent with the effects of arbitrage and central bank intervention.
Finally, forecasting exercises support this model over alternate linear and non-linear specifications.
Keywords Asymmetric adjustment - Cointegration - Interest rates
JEL Classification C22 - G12