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Growths, Urban Transformations, Real Estate Positional Value: Econometric Cellular Automata for the Simulation of the Positional Value: An Application for Turin
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Growths, Urban Transformations, Real Estate Positional Value: Econometric Cellular Automata for the Simulation of the Positional
Value: An Application for Turin
Luca D’Acci1
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Estimate and Economic Assestment, Departement of Housing and City, Polytechnic of Turin, |
Abstract
The aim of this study is to produce a model that can simulate the positional real estate value, taking into account the transformation
and expansion of urban areas. The model, called SiVa, is built on a geometric interpolation of points, raised from a matrix
derived from Cellular Automata and using a fuzzy approach. The rules implemented by the Cellular Automata are a combination
of logical and mathematical relationships that the model extracts on its own by deducing them from econometric analysis on
values and features of the city of interest. For the city of Turin, a comparison has been completed – as verification and
for a theoretical reflection – among the coefficient of the econometrical analysis with other two studies of this research:
a survey of customer preferences (based on about 1300 interviews); and an analysis of historical series data (1990-2005).
Keywords Cellular Automata - urban transformations - positional real estate value
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