When a sample is drawn from a population with infinite elements, it is impossible to precisely get the probability distribution
of the population from the sample. Particularly, when the size of the sample is small, the estimated values of the probabilities
must be so imprecise that they would be represented by some fuzzy numbers. In that case, we can use the interior-outer-set
model to calculate a fuzzy probability distribution, or invite some experts to review the sample and to subjectively assess.
In this paper, with simulation experiments and inquiring experts, we prove that,the results from the calculation and the subjective
assessment are very near in terms of the fuzzy expected value and the standard deviation. It implies that the interior-outer-set
model can replace experts to give fuzzy probabilities.
Project supported by a Mercator Visiting Professorship of the German Research Society DFG,granted to Prof. Chongfu Huang at
the University of Dortmund.