Available evidence suggests that fracture prediction with bone densitometry may improve when used on people at high risk
of osteoporotic fractures. The objectives of this literature review were: (1) to identify risk factors for fracture that are
associated with the development of a low bone mass for both men and women; (2) to describe and assess the relationship between
these factors and the risk of fracture; and (3) to classify them according to the strength of their association with fracture
incidence. Studies were identified from MEDLINE (1982–1997), HealthSTAR (1975–1997) and The Cochrane Library (1997) databases.
Pre-stated inclusion criteria (original analytic studies assessing risk factors for osteoporotic fractures in men and women)
and methodologic quality were assessed by two independent investigators. Information on the study design and analysis, characteristics
of participants, exposure (risk factor) and outcome measures (relative risk and odds ratios for fracture incidence), control
for potential confounding factors and risk estimates was extracted using a standardized protocol. Qualitative and meta-analytic
techniques were used for data synthesis. As a result, risk factors were classified into three groups according to their strength
of association with fracture: high risk (RR≥2), moderate risk (1<RR<2) and no risk or protective (RR≤1). Of approximately
80 risk factors identified from 94 cohort and 72 case-control studies, 15% were classified in the high-risk group, including
low body weight, loss of weight, physical inactivity, the consumption of corticosteroids or anticonvulsants, primary hyperparathyroidism,
diabetes mellitus type I, anorexia nervosa, gastrectomy, pernicious anemia, and aging (>70–80 years). Eighteen percent and
8% of risk factors were classified in the moderate and no risk group respectively, whereas 60% showed either a lack of scientific
evidence confirming their association with fracture or contradictory results. An efficient strategy for bone densitometry
provision may thus be its selective use in those individuals who present with several strong or moderate risk factors for
fracture related to bone mass loss.
Key words:Bone densitometry – Fracture – Meta-analysis, Osteoporosis – Risk factors – Systematic review
Received: 28 August 2000 / Accepted: 20 March 2001