The statistical properties of the total yield are analyzed for an assembly of gamblers in an erratic period on the Budapest
stock exchange. Random trading results in a log-normal limit distribution of a surprisingly large width, while the simplest
profit realizing strategy narrows down the peak around a positive average value. The effect of transaction costs, the statistics
of extremes, and patterns of successful trading are also investigated. In spite of the very simple approach, we present strong
indications that large trading activity (
e.g. day trading) is a rather risky way of capital investment. A comparison with the yield distribution of 32 public investment
funds in the given period does not reflect the presence of a sophisticated investment strategy in the background.
PACS. 02.50.-r Probability theory, stochastic processes, and statistics - 89.90.+n Other topics of general interest to physicists
Received 5 May 2000