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7. Large Ensemble Averaging

David HornContact Information, Ury Naftaly6 and Nathan Intrator7

(6)  School of Physics and Astronomy, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, 69978, Israel
(7)  School of Mathematical Sciences Raymond and Beverly Sackler Faculty of Exact Sciences, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, 69978, Israel
Abstract
Averaging over many predictors leads to a reduction of the variance portion of the error. We present a method for evaluating the mean squared error of an infinite ensemble of predictors from finite (small size) ensemble information. We demonstrate it on ensembles of networks with difierent initial choices of synaptic weights.We find that the optimal stopping criterion for large ensembles occurs later in training time than for single networks. We test our method on the suspots data set and obtain excellent results.

Contact Information David Horn
Email: horn@neuron.tau.ac.il
URL: http://neuron.tau.ac.il/~horn
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