This paper replies to Politzer’s (2007) criticisms of the mental model theory of conditionals. It argues that the theory provides a correct account of negation
of conditionals, that it does not provide a truth-functional account of their meaning, though it predicts that certain interpretations
of conditionals yield acceptable versions of the ‘paradoxes’ of material implication, and that it postulates three main strategies
for estimating the probabilities of conditionals.
Keywords Human reasoning – Conditionals – Mental models – Probabilistic reasoning