Volume 1, Number 1, 63-90, DOI: 10.1007/s11698-007-0006-4

The origins of US total factor productivity growth in the golden age

Alexander J. Field

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Abstract

A consideration of TFP growth in the United States during the golden age (1948–1973) raises two related questions: on the one hand why was it so strong and on the other hand, why were TFP growth rates lower than they were during the Depression years (1929–1941)? A continuing downward trend in TFP growth within manufacturing, and its declining share after World War II, provide answers to the latter question. A persisting productivity windfall associated with the build out of the surface road infrastructure helps answer the former question. By adopting a longer historical perspective, we can move beyond understanding the golden age sui generis, and begin to see it instead as a period reflecting the persistence of trends and developments whose origins are to be found prior to the Second World War.

Keywords  Productivity - TFP - US macroeconomic history - Manufacturing - Transportation

JEL Classification  N12 - N71 - O47


This paper is part of an ongoing project on the history of United States technical change and productivity advance.

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