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Abstract

Lee, Shleifer, and Thaler (1991) argue that the ldquoirrational noise traderrdquo model of DeLong, Shleifer, Summers, and Waldmann (1990) ldquo... is consistent with the published evidence on closed-end fund prices. ...rdquo However, Lee, Shleifer, and Thaler provide no indication of how much of the variability of a closed-end fund's discounts and premiums is due to such ldquoinvestor sentiment.rdquo Using the signal extraction technique of French and Roll (1986) to measure noise, this article estimates that on average only 7 percent of the variance of a standardized measure of weekly changes in discounts and premiums can be attributed to noise-trading activity. ldquoInvestor sentiment,rdquo therefore, seems to account for very little of a closed-end fund's discount and premium variability over time.

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