BACKGROUND: The last 5 years of trial data demonstrate the ineffectiveness of hormone replacement therapy (HRT). The impact of these
trials on age-specific HRT use, HRT discontinuation, and regional HRT variation has not been evaluated extensively.
OBJECTIVE: To characterize the relation between HRT trial dissemination and age-specific HRT use, HRT discontinuation, and regional
HRT variation before and after the trials’ publication.
DESIGN: Using the Medco Health database, we analyzed HRT prescription filling, discontinuation, and regional variation among women
≥55 years from May 1998 to May 2003.
MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Approximately 340,000 women were eligible for Medco benefits each month. Within 3 months of the Women’s Health Initiative
(WHI), HRT prescriptions declined from 12.5% to 9.4%, P≤.0001. When stratified by age, a statistically significant decline in HRT post-WHI occurred in all age groups, with the biggest
decline among women ≥55 to 64 (18% to 11%, P≤.0001). Among HRT users, we found statistically significant increases in discontinuation in 2002 (67%) compared with 2001
(53%, P<.0001). Prior to the WHI there was substantial regional variation in HRT use, with the West South Central and mid-Atlantic
having the highest and lowest proportions, respectively (19% vs 6%, P≤.0001). Despite a relative decline in HRT use of 25% to 42% across all regions, substantial geographic variation remained.
CONCLUSIONS: Hormone replacement therapy use decreased significantly immediately post-WHI, suggesting that trial results can have a rapid
effect on practice. Marked regional variation in HRT use persisted after the WHI, suggesting that local practice patterns
exert a strong effect on clinical behavior even after new evidence is available.
Key Words hormone replacement therapy - estrogen - clinical trials - Women’s Health Initiative
The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.
Dr. Kim’s work was supported by the Robert Wood Johnson Clinical Scholars Program and the Fellowship in Geriatric Medicine
and Clinical Epidemiology training grant at the Yale University School of Medicine (T32AG019134). Dr. Gross’s efforts were
supported by a Cancer Prevention, Control and Population Sciences Career Development Award (1K07CA-90402) and the Claude D.
Pepper Older Americans Independence Center at Yale (P30AG21342).