Volume 17, Number 2, 323-331, DOI: 10.1007/BF01206291

The demand for football: Some evidence on outcome uncertainty

D. A. Peel and D. A. Thomas

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Abstract

This paper analyses the determinants of match attendances in the English Football League using an improved measure of match outcome uncertainty based on the probability of home team success. Explicit allowance is made for the level of core support as well as the potential non-linearities associated with home team success. The report results are striking and generally robust across all four divisions of the English Football League.

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