In this paper we consider the problem of bandwidth selection in local polynomial estimation of derivative functions. We use
a dependent data context, and analyze time series which are realizations of strictly stationary processes. We consider the
estimation of the first derivative of the conditional mean function for a non-linear autoregressive model. First of all, we
emphasize the role assumed by the smoothing parameter, by showing how the choice of the bandwidth is crucial for the consistency
of the non-parametric estimation procedure, through an example on simulated data. We then use a new approach for the selection
of such a parameter, based on the neural network technique. Such alternative method presents several advantages with respect
to the traditional approach used so far.
Key words Bandwidth selection - Dependent data - Local polynomial estimators - Neural networks