Aims/hypothesis
Insulin autoantibodies (IAA) precede and predict the onset of type 1 diabetes, but not all children with IAA develop the disease. In affected families, IAA affinity can identify IAA-positive children who are more likely to progress to diabetes. The purpose of this study was to determine whether affinity is a useful marker to stratify type 1 diabetes risk in IAA-positive children from the general population.Methods
IAA affinity was determined by competitive binding to 125I-insulin with increasing concentrations of cold insulin and with cold proinsulin in sera from 46 IAA-positive children identified in the Karlsburg Type 1 Diabetes Risk Study of a Normal Schoolchild Population in north-eastern Germany.Results
IAA affinity ranged between 5×10
6 and 1.2×10
11 l/mol. IAA affinity was higher in 24 children who developed multiple islet autoantibodies or diabetes (median 3.5×10
9 l/mol; interquartile range [IQR] 2.1×10
9 to 2.1×10
10 l/mol) than in 22 children who did not develop multiple islet autoantibodies or diabetes (median 1.3×10
8 l/mol; IQR 3.8×10
7 to 7.2×10
8 l/mol;
p<0.0001). Using a threshold of

10
9 l/mol, 22 of the 24 children who developed multiple islet autoantibodies or diabetes were correctly identified by high-affinity IAA and 18 of 22 who did not develop multiple islet autoantibodies or diabetes were correctly identified by low-affinity IAA. IAA affinity was significantly higher in samples with proinsulin reactive IAA (
p<0.0001).
Conclusions/interpretation
IAA affinity measurement provides robust identification of IAA associated with high diabetes risk.Keywords Antibody affinity - Insulin autoantibodies - Prediction - Proinsulin - Type 1 diabetes