Lecture Notes in Computer Science, 1993, Volume 667/1993, 136-152, DOI: 10.1007/3-540-56602-3_133

Bayes and pseudo-Bayes estimates of conditional probabilities and their reliability

James Cussens

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Abstract

Various ways of estimating probabilities, mainly within the Bayesian framework, are discussed. Their relevance and application to machine learning is given, and their relative performance empirically evaluated. A method of accounting for noisy data is given and also applied. The reliability of estimates is measured by a significance measure, which is also empirically tested. We briefly discuss the use of likelihood ratio as a significance measure.

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