The wrist pulse signals can be used to analyze a person’s health status in that they reflect the pathologic changes of the
person’s body condition. This paper aims to present a novel time series analysis approach to analyze wrist pulse signals.
First, a data normalization procedure is proposed. This procedure selects a reference signal that is ‘closest’ to a newly
obtained signal from an ensemble of signals recorded from the healthy persons. Second, an auto-regressive (AR) model is constructed
from the selected reference signal. Then, the residual error, which is the difference between the actual measurement for the
new signal and the prediction obtained from the AR model established by reference signal, is defined as the disease-sensitive
feature. This approach is based on the premise that if the signal is from a patient, the prediction model previously identified
using the healthy persons would not be able to reproduce the time series measured from the patients. The applicability of
this approach is demonstrated using a wrist pulse signal database collected using a Doppler Ultrasound device. The classification
accuracy is over 82% in distinguishing healthy persons from patients with acute appendicitis, and over 90% for other diseases.
These results indicate a great promise of the proposed method in telling healthy subjects from patients of specific diseases.
Keywords Wrist pulse signal – Auto-regressive model – Time series analysis