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Estimating Joint Probabilities from Marginal Ones*

Tao LiContact Information, Shenghuo ZhuContact Information, Mitsunori OgiharaContact Information and Yinhe ChengContact Information

(7)  Computer Science Department, University of Rochester, 14627-0226 New York, Rochester
Abstract
Estimating joint probabilities plays an important role in many data mining and machine learning tasks. In this paper we introduce two methods, minAB and prodAB, to estimate joint probabilities. Both methods are based on a light-weight structure, partition support. The core idea is to maintain the partition support of itemsets over logically disjoint partitions and then use it to estimate joint probabilities of itemsets of higher cardinalitiess. We present extensive mathematical analyses on both methods and compare their performances on synthetic datasets. We also demonstrate a case study of using the estimation methods in Apriori algorithm for fast association mining. Moreover, we explore the usefulness of the estimation methods in other mining/learning tasks [9]. Experimental results show the effectiveness of the estimation methods.

Keywords  Joint Probability - Estimation - Association Mining

The project is supported in part by NIH Grants 5-P41-RR09283, RO1-AG18231, and P30-AG18254 and by NSF Grants EIA-0080124, NSF CCR-9701911, and DUE- 9980943. We would also like to thank Dr. Meng Xiang Tang and Xianghui Liu for their helpful discussions.

Contact Information Tao Li
Email: taoli@cs.rochester.edu

Contact Information Shenghuo Zhu
Email: zsh@cs.rochester.edu

Contact Information Mitsunori Ogihara
Email: ogihara@cs.rochester.edu

Contact Information Yinhe Cheng
Email: cheng@cs.rochester.edu
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