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Seabreeze Prediction Using Bayesian Networks

Russell J. KennettContact Information, Kevin B. KorbContact Information and Ann E. NicholsonContact Information

(4)  School of Computer Science and Software Engineering, Monash University, VIC 3800, Australia
Abstract
In this paper we examine the use of Bayesian networks (BNs) for improving weather prediction, applying them to the problem of predicting sea breezes. We compare a pre-existing Bureau of Meteorology rule-based system with an elicited BN and others learned by two data mining programs, TETRAD II [Spirtes et al., 1993] and Causal MML [Wallace and Korb, 1999]. These Bayesian nets are shown to significantly outperform the rule-based system in predictive accuracy.

Contact Information Russell J. Kennett
Email: russk88@hotmail.com

Contact Information Kevin B. Korb
Email: korb@csse.monash.edu.au

Contact Information Ann E. Nicholson
Email: annn@csse.monash.edu.au
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