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Impact of doubled CO2 on the interaction between the global and regional water cycles in four study regions
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Impact of doubled CO 2 on the interaction between the global and regional water cycles in four study regions
Zhao Li1, Uma S. Bhatt1 and Nicole Mölders1 
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Geophysical Institute and College of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, Atmospheric Science Program, University of Alaska Fairbanks, 903 Koyukuk Drive, P.O. Box 757320, Fairbanks, AK 99775-7320, USA |
Received: 5 February 2007 Accepted: 25 May 2007 Published online: 19 July 2007
Abstract Results from a suite of 30-year simulations (after spin-up) of the fully coupled Community Climate System Model version 2.0.1
are analyzed to examine the impact of doubling CO 2 on interactions between the global water cycle and the regional water cycles of four similar-size, but hydrologically and
thermally different study regions (the Yukon, Ob, St Lawrence, and Colorado river basins and their adjacent land). A heuristic
evaluation based on published climatological data shows that the model generally produces acceptable results for the control
1× CO 2 concentration, except for mountainous regions where it performs like other modern climate models. After doubling CO 2, the Northern Hemisphere receives significantly (95% confidence level) more moisture from the Southern Hemisphere during
the boreal summer than under 1× CO 2 conditions, and the phase of the annual cycle of net moisture transport to areas north of 60°N shifts to a month later than
in the reference simulation. Precipitation and evapotranspiration in the doubled CO 2 simulation increase for the Yukon, Ob, and St Lawrence, but decrease, on average, for the Colorado region compared to the
reference simulation. For all regions, interaction between global and regional water cycles increases under doubled CO 2, because the amount of moisture entering and leaving the regions increases in the warmer climate. The degree of change in
this interaction depends on region and season, and is related to slight shifts in the position/strength of semi-permanent
highs and lows for the Yukon, Ob, and St Lawrence; in the Colorado region, higher temperatures associated with doubling CO 2 and the anticyclone located over the region increase the persistence of dry conditions.
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