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Exploratory Spatial Analysis of Illegal Oil Discharges Detected off Canada’s Pacific Coast

Norma Serra-SogasContact Information, Patrick O’HaraContact Information, Rosaline CanessaContact Information, Stefania BertazzonContact Information and Marina GavrilovaContact Information

(1)  Department of Geography, University of Victoria,  
(2)  Environment Canada – Canadian Wildlife Service, Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney, BC,  
(3)  Department of Geography, University of Calgary,  
(4)  Department of Computer Science, University of Calgary,  
Abstract
In order to identify a model that best predicts spatial patterns it is necessary to first explore the spatial properties of the data that will be included in a predictive model. Exploratory analyses help determine whether or not important statistical assumptions are met, and potentially lead to the definition of spatial patterns that might exist in the data. Here, we present results from exploratory analyses based on detected illegal oil spills by the National Aerial Surveillance Program (NASP) in Canada’s Pacific Region, and marine vessel traffic, the possible source of these oil discharges. We identify and describe spatial properties of the oil spills, surveillance flights and marine traffic, to ultimately identify to most suitable predictive model to map areas where these events are more likely to occur.

Keywords  Illegal Oil Pollution - Spatial Autocorrelation - Moran’s I  - Geary’s c  - LISA - Canada’s Pacific Region


Contact Information Norma Serra-Sogas
Email: normas@uvic.ca

Contact Information Patrick O’Hara
Email: paddio@uvic.ca

Contact Information Rosaline Canessa
Email: rosaline@uvic.ca

Contact Information Stefania Bertazzon
Email: bertazzs@ucalgary.ca

Contact Information Marina Gavrilova
Email: marina@cpsc.ucalgary.ca
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