Volume 8, Number 1, 39-60, DOI: 10.1023/A:1008234330618

Learning Causes: Psychological Explanations of Causal Explanation1

Clark Glymour

View Related Documents

Abstract

I argue that psychologists interested in human causal judgment should understand and adopt a representation of causal mechanisms by directed graphs that encode conditional independence (screening off) relations. I illustrate the benefits of that representation, now widely used in computer science and increasingly in statistics, by (i) showing that a dispute in psychology between lsquomechanistrsquo and lsquoassociationistrsquo psychological theories of causation rests on a false and confused dichotomy; (ii) showing that a recent, much-cited experiment, purporting to show that human subjects, incorrectly let large causes lsquoovershadowrsquo small causes, misrepresents the most likely, and warranted, causal explanation available to the subjects, in the light of which their responses were normative; (iii) showing how a recent psychological theory (due to P. Cheng) of human judgment of causal power can be considerably generalized: and (iv) suggesting a range of possible experiments comparing human and computer abilities to extract causal information from associations.

cause - causation - directed graphs - explanation - judgment - under certainty

Fulltext Preview

Image of the first page of the fulltext document