Aims/hypothesis. To estimate the prevalence of undiagnosed diabetes mellitus, impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) and impaired fasting glucose (IFG), and their relations with cardiovascular risk factors in the general population aged 55 to 74 years in Southern Germany.

Methods. Oral glucose tolerance tests were carried out in a random sample of 1353 subjects aged 55 to 74 years participating in the KORA (Cooperative Health Research in the Region of Augsburg) Survey 2000. Prevalences of glucose tolerance categories (1999 WHO criteria) were adjusted for sample probabilities. The numbers needed to screen (NNTS) to identify one person with undiagnosed diabetes were estimated from age-adjusted logistic regression models.

Results. Sample design-based prevalences of known and unknown diabetes, IGT, and IFG were 9.0%, 9.7%, 16.8%, 9.8% in men, and 7.9%, 6.9%, 16.0%, 4.5% in women, respectively. In both sexes, participants with undiagnosed diabetes had higher BMI, waist circumference, systolic blood pressure, triglycerides, uric acid, and lower HDL-cholesterol than normoglycaemic subjects. A combination of abdominal adiposity, hypertension, and parental diabetes in men resulted in a NNTS of 2.9 (95%CI: 2.0–4.6). In women, the combination of increased triglycerides, hypertension and parental diabetes history yielded a NNTS of 3.2 (95%CI: 2.2–5.1).

Conclusion/interpretation. About 40% of the population aged 55 to 74 years in the Augsburg region have disturbed glucose tolerance or diabetes. Half of the total cases with diabetes are undiagnosed. Cardiovascular risk factors worsen among glucose tolerance categories, indicating the need for screening and prevention. Screening for undiagnosed diabetes could be most efficient in individuals with abdominal adiposity (men), hypertriglyceridaemia (women), hypertension, and parental diabetes history.