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Abstract

In this study, a novel neural network ensemble system, i.e. NNES, is proposed for economic forecasting. This ensemble approach utilizes the boosting and bagging algorithms to constitute neural network ensemble respectively, which are combined into NNES with simple average, and a novel forecasting effective measure algorithm to determine the weights used to form the neural network ensembles. For illustration and testing purposes, the proposed ensemble model is applied for economic forecasting.

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