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Bayes Discriminant Rules with Ordered Predictors

Cristina RuedaContact Information, Miguel A. FernándezContact Information and Bonifacio SalvadorContact Information

(1)  Departamento de Estadística e I.O.Universidad de Valladolid, 47005 Valladolid, Spain

Published online: 6 June 2009

Abstract  We propose and discuss improved Bayes rules to discriminate between two populations using ordered predictors. To address the problem we propose an alternative formulation using a latent space that allows to introduce the information about the order in the theoretical rules. The rules are first defined when the marginal densities are fully known and then under normality when the parameters are unknown and training samples are available. Several numerical examples and simulations in the paper illustrate the methodology and show that the new rules handle the information appropriately. We compare the new rules with the classical Bayes and Fisher rules in these examples and we show that the misclassification probability is smaller for the new rules. The method is also applied to data from a diabetes study where we again show that the new rules improve over the usual Fisher rule.

Key Words  Discriminant analysis - Latent space - Misclassification probability - Order restrictions - Restricted estimation

Research partially supported by Spanish DGES and by PAPIJCL. The authors thank the editor and an anonymous reviewer for their detailed reading that resulted in this much improved version of the paper.

Contact Information Cristina Rueda (Corresponding author)
Email: crueda@eio.uva.es

Contact Information Miguel A. Fernández
Email: miguelaf@eio.uva.es

Contact Information Bonifacio Salvador
Email: bosal@eio.uva.es
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