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Improving Business Failure Predication Using Rough Sets with Non-financial Variables
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Improving Business Failure Predication Using Rough Sets with Non-financial Variables
Jao-Hong Cheng1 , Chung-Hsing Yeh2, 3 and Yuh-Wen Chiu1, 4 
| (1) |
Department of Information Management, National Yunlin University of Science, and Technology, Douliou, Yunlin, 640, Taiwan |
| (2) |
Clayton School of Information Technology, Faculty of Information Technology, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria 3800, Australia |
| (3) |
Department of Transportation and Communications Management, College of Management, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan,
Email:monash@mail.ncku.edu.tw, Taiwan |
| (4) |
Department of Information Management, Far East University, Tainan, Taiwan |
Abstract
Rough set models with financial variables have proven to be effective in predicting business failure. To enhance the predictive
performance of rough set models, this paper includes a non-financial variable, auditor switching, into the modeling process,
in addition to 14 financial ratios commonly used in business failure research. An empirical study on 62 failed firms and 62
one-to-one matching non-failed firms in Taiwan between 1998 and 2005 is conducted, using available data for the three years
before failure. Six rough set models are constructed individually with and without the auditor switching variable, using the
three-year data respectively. The empirical study shows that the non-financial variable is the most significant attribute
and plays an essential role in enhancing the performance of rough set models. These findings highlight the effectiveness of
rough set models for business failure prediction and particularly the importance of incorporating non-financial variables
in business failure research.
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